Lan Hengmin: Is It A Casual Phenomenon Or A Common Sign That Most Of Guangdong'S Enterprises Are Halting Production?

Soft landing is our unremitting pursuit. Hard landing is the embarrassment we often face.

A big question mark: will China's economy hard landing in the second half of 2011?

The latest reports from the media show that under the pressure of rising costs, some SMEs in Zhejiang, Guangdong, Jiangsu and other places have already had half stoppage and downtime.

21, "Guangzhou daily" reported that "most of the garment factories in Guangdong are in a semi shutdown state, and 1 yuan clothing is reproduced on the street".

What matters is: is it just an accident or a common sign?

According to "Economic Observer" reported, "on 4 May, the Ministry of industry and information issued a circular calling for the provincial and municipal authorities to carry out the investigation of the financing situation of SMEs, and submit the investigation report to the Ministry of industry and information 15 days ago."

According to time projections, reports from all parts of the country have been collected to the Ministry of industry and information.

At the same time, the plight of SMEs has also attracted the attention of the National Federation of industry and commerce.

They spent more than two months before conducting systematic research on 16 provinces such as Guangdong, Zhejiang and Jiangsu, and found that the situation of small and medium-sized enterprises, especially small and micro enterprises, may be more difficult than the global financial crisis in 2008.

It is reported that the research report will be submitted to the State Council.

The Ministry of industry and Commerce and the National Federation of industry and Commerce have close contact with enterprises. Their sense of touch should be sensitive and reliable. We believe their basic judgement: the situation of small and micro enterprises may be more than that of 2008.

In 2008, the problems faced by small businesses were relatively simple, that is, external demand dropped sharply and orders fell drastically.

The reasons for the "closing down tide" of the small businesses currently developing are complex: not only the external demand is decreasing, but also the prices of raw materials and wages are rising.

The stoppage and half stoppage of small businesses in the southeast coastal areas is only now in the "increasing" stage, and not yet to the extent of "Big Bang", so many people have not given enough attention.

For example, the central bank is still busy blocking the "hot money", obsessed with the "interest rate is the most comfortable", and once again rough increase the deposit reserve ratio, the lack of a necessary understanding of the serious situation of SMEs.

Not only that, the plight of small businesses will even make them feel lucky in the future: it is because banks will invest a limited amount of money on the dominant enterprises. If they invest in small businesses, they will not know how much they will increase.

But the financial system is still lacking in understanding.

In the "2011 Lujiazui forum", Liu Mingkang, chairman of the China Banking Regulatory Commission, said that commercial banks must come out from the traditional development mode of "big money" and "big base households". They must strictly adhere to the bottom line of credit concentration and pay more attention to financial services for small businesses and small enterprises.

Unfortunately, Liu Mingkang is not the governor of the central bank.

After the world financial crisis in 2008, the investment of 4 trillion yuan saved the collapse of small and medium-sized enterprises. If we reappear the collapse of that year, can we still use similar investment stimulus of 4 trillion yuan? Dare to use it?

What we know is that, with the more and more serious business situation of small and medium-sized enterprises, this problem will certainly arouse the attention of both upper and lower.