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Jufeng Hits The Gem Expecting More Than Facts.

2013/11/22 21:15:00 10

JufengGemFinance And Economics

"P > > a href=" //www.sjfzxm.com/ "> Third Plenary Session < /a > policy, the national security and military industry did not mention before the third plenary session, so the two plates belong to the super expected state, and the land circulation has been hyped up before the third plenary session, so it is in line with the expectation as a whole. That is why the land pfer in recent years is weaker than the concept of Guoan.

What is the theoretical basis for the different market timing in different markets? < /p >


< p > < strong > 1. Expectation is heavier than fact < /strong > < /p >.


< p > in the process of anticipation, the occurrence and development of facts are not the most important ones, and the fact that they are recognized by the public is the ultimate goal.

In this perspective, expectations are more important than facts.

< /p >


< p > this is common in the stock market. The so-called speculative speculation and overheated market are rooted in the difference between expectation and fact.

This also reverses the fact that the fact based fundamentals do not fully determine the stock price, and that the virtual reality in market psychology is the fundamental driving force of stock price.

< /p >


< p > in the course of actual operation, hot money is best at using a href= "//www.sjfzxm.com/" > market < /a > expectation and psychology to get maximum benefit.

With the guidance of information public opinion and the development of its corresponding operational behavior, it reverses market expectations at some time, and at the same time promotes market expectations in a certain period. Its fundamental goal is to cooperate with its successful operation and maximization of interests. Therefore, the most well known driving fund is the anticipation of the market.

< /p >


< p > < strong > two, focusing on dynamic analysis < /strong > < /p >


< p > in fact, we can analyze and get the views of all the market parties today through all kinds of data statistics, that is, the static direction expected by all parties.

However, in the process of practical study, we find that the research and actual combat based on this is often characterized by obvious lag and not keeping up with the market.

< /p >


< p > this shows that the essence of the expected study is the dynamic analysis and judgement of expectation, the fundamental point that leads to the continuation or change of market expectation trend, and the more dynamic judgement of market expectation change.

The final result of static expectation research is often similar in form but not in spirit.

< /p >


< p > this also determines that the expected research itself is a time-consuming and arduous act that requires sufficient experience support.

< /p >


< p > < strong > three, and expected deviation study < /strong > < /p >


< p > < a href= > //www.sjfzxm.com/ > expectation deviation < /a > points out the difference between fact and expectation. Although market expectation has its own development law and independent direction, it often deviates from the fact itself.

But from another point of view, the deviation between the expectation and the facts will lead to the regression of market behavior. Many speculators are exploiting this deviation to gain profits ahead of time. At present, the prediction of most market participants is actually using this principle.

< /p >


< p > but as mentioned above in dynamic expectation research, the deviation between expectation and fact will interact with each other, so neither is static.

It is especially noteworthy that the fundamentals themselves will be affected by expectations, and the game between fundamentals and market behavior will gradually deviate from the original track.

< /p >


< p > precisely because both are not static, the study of expectation and fundamentals appears to be more dynamic and variable.

< /p >

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